North Carolina Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Roy Cooper at 52%, Michael Whatley at 40.6%, Michael Dublin at 1.3%, Shannon Bray at 2%, based on 61 polls ending between 11/29/2024 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
North Carolina Senate race 2026 over time
61 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Roy Cooper 52%
Michael Whatley 40.6%
Michael Dublin 1.3%
Shannon Bray 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 52% | 59 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Whatley | 40.6% | 54 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Dublin | 1.3% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
| Shannon Bray | 2% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 61 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 49.9% |
| Michael Whatley | 40.3% |
| Shannon Bray | 2.2% |
| Michael Dublin | 1.4% |
| Don Brown | 19.2% |
| Thom Thillis | 43.6% |
| Richard Dansie | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Temple | 1.8% |
Individual polls (61)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Don Brown (R)
|
| 9/15/2025 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/8/2025 |
Change Research
for Carolina Forward |
855 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 8/12/2025 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 7/30/2025 | Emerson College | 1,000 RV |
Michael Whatley (R)
Roy Cooper (D)
|
| 7/30/2025 | Victory Insights | 600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 7/7/2025 | NRSC | 548 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Wiley Nickel (D)
|
| 4/4/2025 |
Change Research
for Carolina Forward |
867 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Thom Tillis (R)
|
| 3/5/2025 | Public Policy Polling | 662 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Thom Thillis
|
| 11/29/2024 | Victory Insights | 800 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Lara Trump (R)
|
| 11/29/2024 | Victory Insights | 800 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Thom Thillis
|