North Carolina Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Roy Cooper at 52%, Michael Whatley at 40.6%, Michael Dublin at 1.3%, Shannon Bray at 2%, based on 61 polls ending between 11/29/2024 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
North Carolina Senate race 2026 over time
61 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Roy Cooper 52%
Michael Whatley 40.6%
Michael Dublin 1.3%
Shannon Bray 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 52% | 59 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Whatley | 40.6% | 54 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Dublin | 1.3% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
| Shannon Bray | 2% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 61 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 49.9% |
| Michael Whatley | 40.3% |
| Shannon Bray | 2.2% |
| Michael Dublin | 1.4% |
| Don Brown | 19.2% |
| Thom Thillis | 43.6% |
| Richard Dansie | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Temple | 1.8% |
Individual polls (61)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/2026 | Quantus Insights | 722 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 10/20/2026 | ActiVote | 400 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 10/20/2026 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 10/20/2026 | High Point University | 620 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 10/11/2026 |
SurveyUSA
for WRAL-TV, WSOC-TV |
643 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 10/10/2026 | Trafalgar Group | 1,091 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Michael Dublin (G)
Shannon Bray (L)
|
| 10/8/2026 | Elon University/YouGov | 561 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 10/7/2026 |
Change Research
for Carolina Forward |
829 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 10/3/2026 | East Carolina University | 810 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 9/29/2026 |
Big Data Poll
for Public Polling Project |
642 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 9/22/2026 | Quantus Insights | 686 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Michael Dublin (G)
Shannon Bray (L)
|
| 9/20/2026 |
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research
for AARP |
1,115 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/20/2026 |
Opinion Diagnostics
for Common Cause North Carolina |
857 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/18/2026 | YouGov | 3,742 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/17/2026 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 9/16/2026 | High Point University Survey Research Center | 706 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/15/2026 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
608 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 9/15/2026 |
YouGov
for Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service |
885 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 9/10/2026 | Trafalgar Group | 1,084 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 9/3/2026 | East Carolina University | 675 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 8/31/2026 | Elon University/YouGov | 565 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 8/12/2026 | High Point University Survey Research Center | 660 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 8/12/2026 | High Point University Survey Research Center | 800 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 8/10/2026 |
Harper Polling
for The Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 8/6/2026 |
Change Research
for Carolina Forward |
915 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|