North Carolina Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Roy Cooper at 52%, Michael Whatley at 40.6%, Michael Dublin at 1.3%, Shannon Bray at 2%, based on 61 polls ending between 11/29/2024 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
North Carolina Senate race 2026 over time
61 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Roy Cooper 52%
Michael Whatley 40.6%
Michael Dublin 1.3%
Shannon Bray 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 52% | 59 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Whatley | 40.6% | 54 | 10/25/2026 |
| Michael Dublin | 1.3% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
| Shannon Bray | 2% | 17 | 10/25/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 61 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | 49.9% |
| Michael Whatley | 40.3% |
| Shannon Bray | 2.2% |
| Michael Dublin | 1.4% |
| Don Brown | 19.2% |
| Thom Thillis | 43.6% |
| Richard Dansie | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Temple | 1.8% |
Individual polls (61)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/1/2026 |
Change Research
for Talking About Politics |
967 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 7/31/2026 |
YouGov
for Elon University |
466 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 7/27/2026 |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
for Fox News |
1,005 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 7/23/2026 | Elon University/YouGov | 717 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 7/23/2026 | Elon University/YouGov | 466 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
Shannon Bray (L)
Michael Dublin (G)
|
| 7/11/2026 | Public Policy Polling | 759 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 6/27/2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 601 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 6/10/2026 |
YouGov
for Catawba College Center for North Carolina Politics & Public Service |
905 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 5/11/2026 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 5/8/2026 |
Change Research
for Carolina Forward |
957 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 4/24/2026 | Opinion Diagnostics | 830 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 4/6/2026 | High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGov | 703 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 4/6/2026 | High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGov | 800 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 4/1/2026 | Quantus Insights | 987 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 3/23/2026 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 3/18/2026 |
YouGov
for Catawba College Center for North Carolina Politics & Public Service |
871 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 3/14/2026 | Public Policy Polling | 556 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 3/9/2026 |
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners Solutions
for Healthier United Fund |
800 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 2/23/2026 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Michael Whatley (R)
Don Brown (R)
Michele Morrow (R)
Thomas Johnson (R)
Elizabeth Temple (R)
Margot Dupre (R)
Richard Dansie (R)
|
| 2/20/2026 | High Point University | — LV |
Michael Whatley (R)
Don Brown (R)
Richard Dansie (R)
Elizabeth Temple (R)
Margot Dupre (R)
Thomas Johnson (R)
Michele Morrow (R)
|
| 2/20/2026 | High Point University | — LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Robert Colon (D)
Justin Dues (D)
Marcus Williams (D)
Daryl Farrow (D)
Orrick Quick (D)
|
| 2/4/2026 | Change Research | 1,069 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 1/15/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,512 RV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 1/7/2026 | Change Research | 1,105 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|
| 11/10/2025 |
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal |
600 LV |
Roy Cooper (D)
Michael Whatley (R)
|