Change Research poll
Fielded 3/17/2026 – 3/20/2026 · 601 respondents · Likely voters
Result
Share of respondents (remainder shown as undecided / other)
Jay Obernolte (R)
48.4%
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)
5.3%
Karen Matthews (I)
4.5%
Alexis Claiborne (D)
2.6%
Pat Wallis (D)
2.6%
Edwin Alonzo (D)
2.5%
David Jones (D)
1.4%
Paul Chakalian (D)
1.1%
About this poll
- Pollster
- Change Research
- Field dates
- Tuesday, March 17, 2026 – Friday, March 20, 2026
- Sample
- 601 · Likely voters
- Sponsors
- Independent Candidates Action
- Internal poll
- No
- Partisan
- IND
- Published
- Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Source
- www.independentaction.org (opens in a new tab)
- Data feed
- The New York Times (via PollResults.org)
- Last updated