South Carolina Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
28% Dem
Rep 72%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Annie Andrews | 29% |
| Darline Graham | 72% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Annie Andrews | 28% |
| Darline Graham Nordone | 72% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 15% | 10/29/2026: 29% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 22% | 10/29/2026: 28% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 84% | 10/29/2026: 72% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 79% | 10/29/2026: 72% |
Poll average
6 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+1.3
Darline Graham (R)
46%
Annie Andrews (D)
44.7%
Kasie Whitener (L)
2.2%
Mark Hackett (O)
1.4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Annie Andrews | Democrat |
| Darline Graham | Republican |
| Mark Hackett | Other |
| Kasie Whitener | Libertarian |
South Carolina Senate race: polls over time
21 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Annie Andrews 44.7%
Darline Graham 46%
Lindsey Graham 49.5%
Mark Lynch 28.7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Andrews | 44.7% | 15 | 10/26/2026 |
| Darline Graham | 46% | 10 | 10/26/2026 |
| Lindsey Graham | 49.5% | 9 | 6/22/2026 |
| Mark Lynch | 28.7% | 6 | 6/7/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 10/19–10/26 | 707 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
|
| Targoz Market Research | 10/16–10/25 | 895 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Kasie Whitener (L)
Mark Hackett (O)
|
| The Citadel School of Humanities and Social Sciences | 10/14–10/25 | 890 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Ralph Norman (R)
Mark Hackett (O)
Kasie Whitener (L)
|
| Impact Research | 10/15–10/21 | 800 LV |
Annie Andrews (D)
Darline Graham (R)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 10/16–10/18 | 1,095 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Kasie Whitener (L)
Mark Hackett (O)
|
| InsiderAdvantage | 9/28–9/29 | 1,200 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Kasie Whitener (L)
Mark Hackett (O)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 9/23–9/25 | 1,087 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
|
| InsiderAdvantage | 9/8–9/9 | 1,200 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
|
| Abacus Data | 8/26–8/28 | 306 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
|
| Impact Research | 8/18–8/24 | 700 LV |
Darline Graham (R)
Annie Andrews (D)
Kasie Whitener (L)
|