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South Carolina Senate race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Annie Andrews at 44.7%, Lindsey Graham at 49.5%, Mark Lynch at 28.7%, Darline Graham at 46%, based on 26 polls ending between 5/21/2025 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

South Carolina Senate race 2026 over time

26 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Annie Andrews 44.7% Lindsey Graham 49.5% Mark Lynch 28.7% Darline Graham 46%
View data as table
South Carolina Senate race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Annie Andrews 44.7% 15 10/26/2026
Lindsey Graham 49.5% 14 6/22/2026
Mark Lynch 28.7% 11 6/7/2026
Darline Graham 46% 10 10/26/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 26 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Annie Andrews42.9%
Lindsey Graham48.3%
Mark Lynch21%
Darline Graham45.7%
Kasie Whitener2.8%
Paul Dans12.3%
Mark Hackett1.5%
Darius Mitchell3.1%

Individual polls (26)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/26/2026 The New York Times/Siena University 707 LV
Darline Graham (R)
48.5%
Annie Andrews (D)
47.8%
10/25/2026 Targoz Market Research
for South Carolina Policy Council
895 LV
Darline Graham (R)
47%
Annie Andrews (D)
46%
Kasie Whitener (L)
2%
Mark Hackett (O)
1%
10/25/2026 The Citadel School of Humanities and Social Sciences 890 LV
Darline Graham (R)
42%
Annie Andrews (D)
39%
Ralph Norman (R)
2%
Mark Hackett (O)
1%
Kasie Whitener (L)
1%
10/21/2026 Impact Research
for Fresh Start SC PAC
800 LV
Annie Andrews (D)
45%
Darline Graham (R)
44%
10/18/2026 Trafalgar Group 1,095 LV
Darline Graham (R)
48.6%
Annie Andrews (D)
45.6%
Kasie Whitener (L)
3.9%
Mark Hackett (O)
0.8%
9/29/2026 InsiderAdvantage 1,200 LV
Darline Graham (R)
46%
Annie Andrews (D)
45%
Kasie Whitener (L)
2%
Mark Hackett (O)
3%
9/25/2026 Trafalgar Group 1,087 LV
Darline Graham (R)
43.4%
Annie Andrews (D)
42.3%
9/9/2026 InsiderAdvantage 1,200 LV
Darline Graham (R)
45.1%
Annie Andrews (D)
43.2%
8/28/2026 Abacus Data 306 LV
Darline Graham (R)
51%
Annie Andrews (D)
38%
8/24/2026 Impact Research 700 LV
Darline Graham (R)
41%
Annie Andrews (D)
41%
Kasie Whitener (L)
5%
7/17/2026 Public Policy Polling 577 RV
Annie Andrews (D)
42%
John Warren (R)
36%
6/22/2026 Impact Research 700 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
48%
Annie Andrews (D)
45%
6/7/2026 Trafalgar Group 1,200 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
49.2%
Mark Lynch (R)
29.4%
Thomas Dismukes (R)
3.9%
Pat Herrmann (R)
2.8%
Darius Mitchell (R)
2.7%
Calvin Cowen (R)
1%
6/6/2026 InsiderAdvantage 800 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
51.2%
Mark Lynch (R)
20.9%
5/31/2026 The Citadel School of Humanities and Social Sciences 427 LV
Annie Andrews (D)
45%
Brandon Brown (D)
14%
Kyle Freeman (D)
5%
5/31/2026 The Citadel School of Humanities and Social Sciences 600 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
46%
Mark Lynch (R)
36%
5/24/2026 Trafalgar Group 1,125 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
52%
Mark Lynch (R)
28.3%
Darius Mitchell (R)
4.4%
Pat Herrmann (R)
2.8%
Thomas Dismukes (R)
2.5%
Calvin Cowen (R)
2.3%
5/14/2026 InsiderAdvantage 800 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
55.5%
Mark Lynch (R)
13.3%
Calvin Cowen (R)
2.8%
Darius Mitchell (R)
2.1%
Thomas Dismukes (R)
1.5%
Pat Herrmann (R)
0.5%
3/17/2026 Pulse Opinion Research 1,000 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
41%
Mark Lynch (R)
21%
Paul Dans (R)
11%
3/1/2026 Impact Research 700 LV
Lindsey Graham (R)
47%
Annie Andrews (D)
42%
11/22/2025 Public Policy Polling
for 314 Action
704 RV
Lindsey Graham (R)
42%
Annie Andrews (D)
36%
10/4/2025 Quantus Insights
for TrendingPolitics
600 RV
Lindsey Graham (R)
58%
Mark Lynch (R)
15%
Paul Dans (R)
7%
9/29/2025 Big Data Poll 827 RV
Lindsey Graham (R)
46.3%
Paul Dans (R)
22.1%
Mark Lynch (R)
4.1%
6/13/2025 Quantus Insights
for TrendingPolitics
— RV
Lindsey Graham (R)
48%
Mark Lynch (R)
23%
6/11/2025 Big Data Poll 827 RV
Lindsey Graham (R)
49.5%
Mark Lynch (R)
10.8%
Paul Dans (R)
9.2%

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