New Hampshire Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
91% Dem
Rep 9%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Chris Pappas | 90% |
| John E. Sununu | 10% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Chris Pappas | 92% |
| John E. Sununu | 8% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 85% | 10/29/2026: 90% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 83% | 10/29/2026: 92% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 16% | 10/29/2026: 10% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 18% | 10/29/2026: 8% |
Poll average
7 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+7.0
Chris Pappas (D)
49.9%
John Sununu (R)
42.9%
Edmond Laplante (O)
2.4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Chris Pappas | Democrat |
| Edmond Laplante | Other |
| John E. Sununu | Republican |
New Hampshire Senate race: polls over time
32 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Chris Pappas 50.3%
John Sununu 43%
Scott Brown 38.5%
Edmond Laplante 2.6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Pappas | 50.3% | 28 | 10/20/2026 |
| John Sununu | 43% | 24 | 10/20/2026 |
| Scott Brown | 38.5% | 8 | 8/24/2026 |
| Edmond Laplante | 2.6% | 4 | 10/12/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm | 10/19–10/20 | 1,672 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
|
| National Public Affairs | 10/8–10/12 | 600 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
Edmond Laplante (O)
|
| YouGov | 9/28–10/5 | 1,519 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
|
| St. Anselm | 9/28–9/29 | 1,042 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
|
| Trafalgar Group | 9/26–9/27 | 1,082 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
Edmond Laplante (O)
|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 9/15–9/22 | 613 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 1,418 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
Edmond Laplante (O)
|
| InsiderAdvantage | 9/16–9/17 | 1,200 LV |
Chris Pappas (D)
John Sununu (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/9–9/11 | 958 LV |
Generic Democrat (D)
Generic Republican (R)
|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 8/27–8/30 | 600 LV |
John Sununu (R)
Chris Pappas (D)
Tim Harris (I)
Christine Lopez (I)
Aaron Day (I)
Edmond Laplante (O)
Jeanne Logan Morrow (I)
|