Kentucky Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
3% Dem
Rep 97%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Charles Booker | 3% |
| Andy Barr | 98% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 10% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 91% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+9.0
Andy Barr (R)
49%
Charles Booker (D)
40%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Andy Barr | Republican |
| Charles Booker | Democrat |
| Christopher Campbell | Other |
Kentucky Senate race: polls over time
12 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Andy Barr 49%
Daniel Cameron 25.5%
Nate Morris 8.5%
Michael Faris 4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Barr | 49% | 9 | 8/27/2026 |
| Daniel Cameron | 25.5% | 8 | 5/11/2026 |
| Nate Morris | 8.5% | 8 | 5/11/2026 |
| Michael Faris | 4% | 4 | 5/11/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 8/24–8/27 | 600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Charles Booker (D)
|
| UpONE Insights | 5/9–5/11 | 600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
|
| Public Opinion Strategies | 5/3–5/5 | 600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
|
| Emerson College | 3/29–3/31 | 400 LV |
Charles Booker (D)
Amy McGrath (D)
Pamela Stevenson (D)
Dale Romans (D)
Vincent Thompson (D)
Logan Forsythe (D)
|
| Emerson College | 3/29–3/31 | 549 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
George Washington (R)
Valerie Frederick (R)
Anissa Catlett (R)
Jimmy Leon (R)
Andrew Shelley (R)
Jonathan Holliday (R)
|
| Public Opinion Strategies | 3/10–3/12 | 600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| Quantus Insights | 2/4–2/4 | 870 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| Emerson College | 1/31–2/2 | 381 LV |
Charles Booker (D)
Amy McGrath (D)
Pamela Stevenson (D)
Vincent Thompson (D)
Logan Forsythe (D)
Dale Romans (D)
|
| Emerson College | 1/31–2/2 | 523 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
Andrew Shelley (R)
Wende Kennedy (R)
|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 1/27–1/29 | 800 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|