Vermont governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
23% Dem
Rep 77%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Amanda Janoo | 24% |
| Phil Scott | 76% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Amanda Janoo | 21% |
| Phil Scott | 78% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 21% | 10/29/2026: 24% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 20% | 10/29/2026: 21% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 78% | 10/29/2026: 76% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 78% | 10/29/2026: 78% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+3.0
Phil Scott (R)
47.5%
Amanda Janoo (D)
44.5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| June Goodband | Other |
| Amanda Janoo | Democrat |
| Brian Judd | Independent |
| Dean Roy | Other |
| Phil Scott | Republican |
| Write-in | Other |
Vermont governor's race: polls over time
8 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Phil Scott 49%
Amanda Janoo 46%
June Goodband 0.2%
Dean Roy 0.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Scott | 49% | 8 | 10/25/2026 |
| Amanda Janoo | 46% | 6 | 10/25/2026 |
| June Goodband | 0.2% | 4 | 9/21/2026 |
| Dean Roy | 0.5% | 3 | 9/21/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Navigate | 10/23–10/25 | 1,752 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Amanda Janoo (D)
|
| State Navigate | 10/2–10/4 | 948 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Amanda Janoo (D)
|
| Braun Research | 9/10–9/21 | 732 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Amanda Janoo (D)
Brian Judd (I)
Dean Roy (O)
June Goodband (O)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 835 LV |
Amanda Janoo (D)
Phil Scott (R)
Brian Judd (I)
Dean Roy (O)
June Goodband (O)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 7/15–7/20 | 954 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Amanda Janoo (D)
June Goodband (O)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 7/15–7/20 | 954 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Aly Richards (D)
June Goodband (O)
Dean Roy (O)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 6/18–6/23 | 511 LV |
Amanda Janoo (D)
Phil Scott (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 6/18–6/23 | 511 LV |
Phil Scott (R)
Ally Richards
|