Connecticut governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
96% Dem
Rep 4%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Ned Lamont | 96% |
| Ryan Fazio | 4% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Ned Lamont | 97% |
| Ryan Fazio | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 93% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 5% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
Poll average
7 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+17.2
Ned Lamont (D)
54.3%
Ryan Fazio (R)
37.1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Ned Lamont | Democrat |
| Ryan Fazio | Republican |
| Zenobia Adgers | Other |
| Christian Noe | Other |
| L. Lee Whitnum | Other |
Connecticut governor's race: polls over time
16 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ned Lamont 55.6%
Ryan Fazio 35.7%
Josh Elliott 27.3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Lamont | 55.6% | 16 | 10/12/2026 |
| Ryan Fazio | 35.7% | 11 | 10/12/2026 |
| Josh Elliott | 27.3% | 5 | 7/26/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 10/10–10/12 | 800 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| GreatBlue Research | 10/6–10/12 | 1,000 RV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| Quinnipiac University | 10/8–10/12 | 702 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov | 9/22–10/7 | — LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 540 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/16–9/17 | 979 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| Quinnipiac University | 9/8–9/14 | 1,288 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| GreatBlue Research | 9/1–9/8 | 1,000 RV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 8/20–8/24 | 809 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| Change Research | 7/23–7/26 | 859 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|