Connecticut governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Ned Lamont at 55.6%, Ryan Fazio at 35.7%, Josh Elliott at 27.3%, Erin Stewart at 42%, based on 18 polls ending between 8/14/2025 and 10/12/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Connecticut governor's race 2026 over time
18 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ned Lamont 55.6%
Ryan Fazio 35.7%
Josh Elliott 27.3%
Erin Stewart 42%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Lamont | 55.6% | 17 | 10/12/2026 |
| Ryan Fazio | 35.7% | 12 | 10/12/2026 |
| Josh Elliott | 27.3% | 5 | 7/26/2026 |
| Erin Stewart | 42% | 2 | 8/14/2025 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 18 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Ned Lamont | 53.2% |
| Ryan Fazio | 34.3% |
| Josh Elliott | 17.1% |
| Erin Stewart | 42% |
| Jennifer Tooker | 3% |
| Mark Lauretti | 3% |
| Peter Lumaj | 2% |
Individual polls (18)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media |
800 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 10/12/2026 |
GreatBlue Research
for CT Insider, Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement |
1,000 RV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 10/12/2026 | Quinnipiac University | 702 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 10/7/2026 |
Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov
for CT Mirror, The Connecticut Project |
— LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 9/21/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 540 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 9/17/2026 | co/efficient | 979 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 9/14/2026 | Quinnipiac University | 1,288 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 9/8/2026 |
GreatBlue Research
for Connecticut Insider | Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement |
1,000 RV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 8/24/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 809 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
Change Research
for Impact CT |
859 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GreatBlue Research
for CT Insider, WFSB (Hartford), Sacred Heart University Institute for Public Policy and Civic Engagement |
1,000 RV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 6/23/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 828 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R)
|
| 5/29/2026 |
Change Research
for Impact CT |
887 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|
| 4/20/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 177 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|
| 2/16/2026 | University of New Hampshire | 170 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|
| 11/17/2025 | University of New Hampshire | 235 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Josh Elliott (D)
|
| 8/14/2025 | OnMessage Inc. | 600 LV |
Ned Lamont (D)
Erin Stewart (R)
|
| 8/14/2025 | OnMessage Inc. | 400 LV |
Erin Stewart (R)
Ryan Fazio (R)
Mark Lauretti (R)
Jennifer Tooker (R)
Peter Lumaj (R)
|