6 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map

Topic

Polls about 2026 Texas

Every tracked poll about 2026 Texas, newest first. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Average result

Unweighted mean across 210 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Ken Paxton	41.7%
James Talarico	45.8%
Gina Hinojosa	45.6%
Greg Abbott	49.6%
John Cornyn	33%
Wesley Hunt	19.5%
Ted Brown	2.4%
Pat Dixon	2.1%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (210)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/13/2026	New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group for The Cook Political Report	934 LV	James Talarico (D) 49% Ken Paxton (R) 44%
10/11/2026	Marist University	1,196 LV	James Talarico (D) 47% Ken Paxton (R) 45%
10/11/2026	Marist University	1,196 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 49% Gina Hinojosa (D) 45%
10/11/2026	Quantus Insights	854 LV	James Talarico (D) 46.7% Ken Paxton (R) 47.2% Ted Brown (L) 2.2%
10/8/2026	GBAO	800 LV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 47% Greg Abbott (R) 45% Pat Dixon (L) 4%
10/8/2026	ReconMR/Siena University	617 LV	James Talarico (D) 48% Ken Paxton (R) 44%
10/8/2026	ReconMR/Siena University	617 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 48% Gina Hinojosa (D) 47%
10/8/2026	Trafalgar Group	1,086 LV	James Talarico (D) 47.1% Ken Paxton (R) 43.6% Ted Brown (L) 1.8%
10/5/2026	YouGov for University of Texas	861 LV	James Talarico (D) 50% Ken Paxton (R) 47% Ted Brown (L) 1%
10/5/2026	YouGov	3,623 LV	James Talarico (D) 50% Ken Paxton (R) 44%
10/5/2026	YouGov for University of Texas	861 LV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 49% Greg Abbott (R) 48% Pat Dixon (L) 1%
10/5/2026	YouGov	3,622 LV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 48% Greg Abbott (R) 47%
9/30/2026	The New York Times/Siena University	605 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 46% Gina Hinojosa (D) 49%
9/30/2026	The New York Times/Siena University	615 LV	James Talarico (D) 50.8% Ken Paxton (R) 45.1%
9/28/2026	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	881 LV	James Talarico (D) 51% Ken Paxton (R) 49%
9/28/2026	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	881 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 52% Gina Hinojosa (D) 47%
9/28/2026	Guidant Polling and Strategy for Public First Action	800 LV	James Talarico (D) 46.6% Ken Paxton (R) 44.2% Ted Brown (L) 4%
9/28/2026	Guidant Polling and Strategy for Public First Action	800 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 46% Gina Hinojosa (D) 44% Pat Dixon (L) 4%
9/28/2026	University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	850 LV	James Talarico (D) 45% Ken Paxton (R) 45% Ted Brown (L) 2%
9/28/2026	University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	850 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 48% Gina Hinojosa (D) 44% Pat Dixon (L) 1%
9/27/2026	Pulse Decision Science	800 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 48% James Talarico (D) 45%
9/26/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	698 LV	James Talarico (D) 46.8% Ken Paxton (R) 44.9% Ted Brown (L) 8.3%
9/26/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	698 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 48.9% Gina Hinojosa (D) 44.4% Pat Dixon (L) 6.6%
9/24/2026	Stratus Intelligence for Texans for a Conservative Majority	865 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 48% James Talarico (D) 48%
9/24/2026	Stratus Intelligence for Texans for a Conservative Majority	865 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 50% Gina Hinojosa (D) 45%