Montana Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Kurt Alme at 40.8%, Seth Bodnar at 31.5%, Alani Bankhead at 16%, Kyle Austin at 2%, based on 35 polls ending between 1/26/2026 and 10/23/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Montana Senate race 2026 over time
35 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kurt Alme 40.8%
Seth Bodnar 31.5%
Alani Bankhead 16%
Kyle Austin 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme | 40.8% | 33 | 10/23/2026 |
| Seth Bodnar | 31.5% | 27 | 10/23/2026 |
| Alani Bankhead | 16% | 23 | 10/23/2026 |
| Kyle Austin | 2% | 16 | 10/23/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 35 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Kurt Alme | 46.9% |
| Seth Bodnar | 30.9% |
| Alani Bankhead | 25.4% |
| Kyle Austin | 4.8% |
| Reilly Neill | 27.5% |
| Steve Daines | 47.4% |
| Charles Walking Child | 15% |
| Lee Calhoun | 12% |
Individual polls (35)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/19/2026 | Tavern Research | 400 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 6/19/2026 | Tavern Research | 400 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
|
| 6/11/2026 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for The Political Company |
500 LV |
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 5/18/2026 |
Tavern Research
for Contours Inc. |
607 LV |
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kurt Alme (R)
|
| 5/18/2026 |
Tavern Research
for Contours Inc. |
607 LV |
Reilly Neill (D)
Kurt Alme (R)
|
| 5/18/2026 |
Tavern Research
for Contours Inc. |
607 LV |
Reilly Neill (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Tom Jandron (L)
Kurt Alme (R)
|
| 5/7/2026 |
Rutgers-Eagleton
for Montana Free Press |
— RV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Charles Walking Child (R)
Lee Calhoun (R)
|
| 3/20/2026 |
Change Research
for Independent Candidates Action |
616 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 2/18/2026 | American Pulse Research & Polling | 607 LV |
Steve Daines (R)
Reilly Neill (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 1/26/2026 | yes. every kid. foundation. | 500 RV |
Steve Daines (R)
Reilly Neill (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|