Montana Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Kurt Alme at 40.8%, Seth Bodnar at 31.5%, Alani Bankhead at 16%, Kyle Austin at 2%, based on 35 polls ending between 1/26/2026 and 10/23/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Montana Senate race 2026 over time
35 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kurt Alme 40.8%
Seth Bodnar 31.5%
Alani Bankhead 16%
Kyle Austin 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme | 40.8% | 33 | 10/23/2026 |
| Seth Bodnar | 31.5% | 27 | 10/23/2026 |
| Alani Bankhead | 16% | 23 | 10/23/2026 |
| Kyle Austin | 2% | 16 | 10/23/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 35 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Kurt Alme | 46.9% |
| Seth Bodnar | 30.9% |
| Alani Bankhead | 25.4% |
| Kyle Austin | 4.8% |
| Reilly Neill | 27.5% |
| Steve Daines | 47.4% |
| Charles Walking Child | 15% |
| Lee Calhoun | 12% |
Individual polls (35)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/2026 |
Concord Public Opinion Partners
for Education Reform Now Advocacy |
410 LV |
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 10/18/2026 | Quantus Insights | 686 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 10/12/2026 | Peak Insights | 500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 10/8/2026 |
Concord Public Opinion Partners
for Education Reform Now Advocacy |
405 LV |
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 9/24/2026 |
American Pulse Research & Polling
for KULR-TV |
604 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 9/15/2026 |
Aspect Strategic
for Montana Freedom PAC |
715 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 9/15/2026 | Quantus Insights | 625 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 9/7/2026 |
Rutgers-Eagleton
for Montana Free Press |
845 RV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 8/25/2026 | Peak Insights | 600 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 8/4/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for Forward Montana |
800 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 517 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GQR
for Contours Inc. |
500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GQR
for Contours Inc. |
500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GQR
for Contours Inc. |
500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GQR
for Contours Inc. |
500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
GQR
for Contours Inc. |
500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 7/16/2026 |
The Bullfinch Group
for The Independent Center |
793 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|
| 6/24/2026 | GrayHouse | 500 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
Kyle Austin (L)
|
| 6/24/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for The Majority Institute |
800 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
|
| 6/19/2026 | Tavern Research | 400 LV |
Kurt Alme (R)
Alani Bankhead (D)
Seth Bodnar (I)
|