Minnesota Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Peggy Flanagan at 47.9%, Michele Tafoya at 42.6%, Angie Craig at 38%, Rebecca Whiting at 2.4%, based on 40 polls ending between 2/15/2025 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Minnesota Senate race 2026 over time
40 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Peggy Flanagan 47.9%
Michele Tafoya 42.6%
Angie Craig 38%
Rebecca Whiting 2.4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan | 47.9% | 31 | 10/26/2026 |
| Michele Tafoya | 42.6% | 24 | 10/26/2026 |
| Angie Craig | 38% | 15 | 8/4/2026 |
| Rebecca Whiting | 2.4% | 9 | 10/15/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 40 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan | 45.4% |
| Michele Tafoya | 43% |
| Angie Craig | 36.7% |
| Rebecca Whiting | 2% |
| Marisa Simonetti | 2% |
| Royce White | 12.2% |
| Adam Schwarze | 7.2% |
| Tom Weiler | 3.9% |
Individual polls (40)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/28/2026 |
Global Strategy Group
for North Star Dawn PAC |
600 LV |
Angie Craig (D)
Peggy Flanagan (D)
|
| 5/28/2026 | Impact Research | 808 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Michele Tafoya (R)
|
| 5/8/2026 | Quantus Insights | 663 LV |
Michele Tafoya (R)
Royce White (R)
Generic Republican (R)
Adam Schwarze (R)
Tom Weiler (R)
|
| 4/30/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association (DLGA) |
652 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|
| 2/8/2026 | Emerson College | 1,000 LV |
Angie Craig (D)
Michele Tafoya (R)
|
| 2/8/2026 | Emerson College | 1,000 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Michele Tafoya (R)
|
| 2/1/2026 |
Peak Insights
for NRSC |
500 LV |
Michele Tafoya (R)
Royce White (R)
Adam Schwarze (R)
David Hann (R)
Tom Weiler (R)
|
| 1/20/2026 | GQR | 600 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|
| 1/17/2026 |
Public Policy Polling
for Clear Voice Minnesota |
976 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|
| 1/15/2026 | Impact Research | 600 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|
| 9/16/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for GQR |
1,015 LV |
Angie Craig (D)
Rep
|
| 9/16/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for GQR |
1,015 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Rep
|
| 7/11/2025 | Impact Research | 604 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Michele Tafoya (R)
|
| 7/7/2025 | NRSC | 559 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|
| 2/15/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for GQR |
668 LV |
Peggy Flanagan (D)
Angie Craig (D)
|