Michigan Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Mike Rogers at 45.7%, Abdul El-Sayed at 48.5%, Haley Stevens at 41.2%, Mallory McMorrow at 2.1%, based on 108 polls ending between 3/6/2025 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Michigan Senate race 2026 over time
108 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mike Rogers 45.7%
Abdul El-Sayed 48.5%
Haley Stevens 41.2%
Mallory McMorrow 2.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 45.7% | 88 | 10/27/2026 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 48.5% | 74 | 10/27/2026 |
| Haley Stevens | 41.2% | 38 | 7/31/2026 |
| Mallory McMorrow | 2.1% | 31 | 7/30/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 108 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 43.9% |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 43.1% |
| Haley Stevens | 36.4% |
| Mallory McMorrow | 26.1% |
| Lydia Christensen | 1.4% |
| Douglas P. Marsh | 0.6% |
| Tim Long | 0.6% |
| Walter P. Kristy | 0.5% |
Individual polls (108)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/16/2025 |
Normington, Petts & Associates
for Yes Michigan |
700 LV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 6/16/2025 |
Normington, Petts & Associates
for Yes Michigan |
700 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/2/2025 | Global Strategy Group | 800 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Joe Tate (D)
|
| 5/23/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for Voter Protection Project |
486 LV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Sandy Pensler (R)
Justin Amash (R)
Sherry O'Donnell (R)
|
| 5/8/2025 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber |
600 RV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/8/2025 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber |
600 RV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 5/8/2025 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber |
600 RV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
|
| 3/6/2025 |
Target Insyght
for MIRS News Service |
600 RV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Haley Stevens (D)
|