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Michigan governor's race 2026

Our 21-day average puts John James at 43.9%, Jocelyn Benson at 51.4%, Aric Nesbitt at 4.3%, Mike Cox at 16.9%, based on 79 polls ending between 1/19/2025 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Michigan governor's race 2026 over time

79 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
John James 43.9% Jocelyn Benson 51.4% Aric Nesbitt 4.3% Mike Cox 16.9%
View data as table
Michigan governor's race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
John James 43.9% 63 10/27/2026
Jocelyn Benson 51.4% 55 10/27/2026
Aric Nesbitt 4.3% 23 7/27/2026
Mike Cox 16.9% 23 7/27/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 79 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
John James38.1%
Jocelyn Benson46.9%
Mike Cox12.4%
Aric Nesbitt7.9%
Perry Johnson21.4%
Mike Duggan21.9%
Tom Leonard4.3%
Chris Swanson7%

Individual polls (79)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
4/13/2026 Emerson College
for Nexstar | WOOD TV 8
519 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
51.7%
Kim Thomas (D)
4.8%
Chris Swanson (D)
4.6%
Kevin Hogan (D)
1.6%
Marni Sawicki (D)
1.2%
3/29/2026 Impact Research 800 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
40%
John James (R)
36%
Mike Duggan (I)
20%
3/26/2026 1892 Polling 600 LV
John James (R)
26%
Perry Johnson (R)
21%
Mike Cox (R)
6%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
4%
Ralph Rebandt (R)
1%
Tom Leonard (R)
1%
3/24/2026 Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov 1,000 A
Jocelyn Benson (D)
29.5%
John James (R)
22.7%
Mike Duggan (I)
19.1%
3/23/2026 JMC Enterprises 450 LV
John James (R)
23%
Perry Johnson (R)
20%
Mike Cox (R)
6%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
5%
Tom Leonard (R)
3%
3/19/2026 OnMessage Inc. 509 LV
John James (R)
37%
Perry Johnson (R)
19%
Mike Cox (R)
10%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
4%
Tom Leonard (R)
1%
2/16/2026 Impact Research 800 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
39%
John James (R)
36%
Mike Duggan (I)
20%
2/2/2026 Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber
— LV
Mike Duggan (I)
30.1%
John James (R)
28.9%
Jocelyn Benson (D)
28%
1/6/2026 Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit News | WDIV-TV
600 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
34%
Mike Duggan (I)
33%
Tom Leonard (R)
24%
11/21/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
261 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
48%
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
12%
Chris Swanson (D)
5%
11/21/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
616 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
32%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
27%
Mike Duggan (I)
22%
11/21/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
255 LV
John James (R)
48%
Mike Cox (R)
11%
Tom Leonard (R)
5%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
2%
Ralph Rebandt (R)
1%
11/11/2025 EPIC-MRA
for ABC 12
600 LV
John James (R)
34%
Jocelyn Benson (D)
33%
Mike Duggan (I)
20%
10/25/2025 Rosetta Stone 252 LV
John James (R)
44%
Mike Cox (R)
13%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
6%
Kevin Rinke (R)
4%
Perry Johnson (R)
4%
Tom Leonard (R)
3%
Ralph Rebandt (R)
1%
10/25/2025 Rosetta Stone 287 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
58%
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
15%
Chris Swanson (D)
6%
10/25/2025 Rosetta Stone 637 LV
John James (R)
39%
Jocelyn Benson (D)
34%
Mike Duggan (I)
18%
10/14/2025 Schoen Cooperman Research 600 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
30%
John James (R)
29%
Mike Duggan (I)
26%
10/9/2025 The Tyson Group
for Plymouth Union Public Advocacy
600 LV
Generic Republican (R)
39%
Generic Democrat (D)
35%
Generic Candidate (O)
7%
10/9/2025 The Tyson Group
for Plymouth Union Public Advocacy
200 LV
John James (R)
41%
Mike Cox (R)
7%
10/6/2025 Impact Research 453 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
56%
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
17%
Chris Swanson (D)
5%
5/8/2025 Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber
600 RV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
36.2%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
26.3%
Mike Duggan (I)
24.8%
3/13/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
688 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
37%
John James (R)
34%
Mike Duggan (I)
16%
3/13/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
281 LV
John James (R)
31%
Tudor Dixon (R)
30%
Mike Cox (R)
10%
Perry Johnson (R)
8%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
5%
Tom Leonard (R)
1%
3/13/2025 Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service
303 LV
Jocelyn Benson (D)
46%
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
13%
Chris Swanson (D)
11%
3/6/2025 Target Insyght
for MIRS News Service
336 RV
John James (R)
57%
Aric Nesbitt (R)
13%
Mike Cox (R)
5%
Perry Johnson (R)
1%

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