Alaska governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Bernadette Wilson at 46.2%, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 53.8%, Tom Begich at 34%, Dave Bronson at 17%, based on 20 polls ending between 3/7/2025 and 10/25/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Alaska governor's race 2026 over time
20 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Bernadette Wilson 46.2%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53.8%
Tom Begich 34%
Dave Bronson 17%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernadette Wilson | 46.2% | 19 | 10/25/2026 |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 53.8% | 12 | 10/25/2026 |
| Tom Begich | 34% | 12 | 7/19/2026 |
| Dave Bronson | 17% | 9 | 9/17/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 20 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Bernadette Wilson | 29.5% |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 33.8% |
| Tom Begich | 33.2% |
| Dave Bronson | 11.6% |
| Click Bishop | 11% |
| Matt Claman | 6.2% |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | 11.9% |
| Treg Taylor | 5.5% |
Individual polls (20)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,068 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 10/18/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,568 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 10/16/2026 | Data for Progress | 629 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 10/1/2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 431 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 9/27/2026 | Cygnal | 502 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
David Bronson
Treg Taylor (R)
|
| 9/17/2026 | co/efficient | 799 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Treg Taylor (R)
|
| 9/11/2026 |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
for AARP |
800 LV |
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 7/19/2026 | Change Research | 604 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Bill Walker (I)
Dave Bronson (R)
Adam Crum (R)
Click Bishop (R)
|
| 7/1/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,528 RV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 6/25/2026 | Public Policy Polling | 529 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Dave Bronson (R)
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
Bill Walker (I)
Matt Claman (D)
|
| 5/17/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,401 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Matt Claman (D)
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
|
| 4/30/2026 | Dittman Research | 451 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Dave Bronson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Treg Taylor (R)
Matt Claman (D)
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Adam Crum (R)
Shelley Hughes (R)
Matt Heilala (R)
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
|
| 4/19/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,923 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 4/19/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,923 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
|
| 4/19/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,923 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
|
| 4/19/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | — LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
|
| 3/22/2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,061 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Matt Claman (D)
|
| 2/11/2026 | Lake Research Partners | 600 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D)
Matt Claman (D)
Click Bishop (R)
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
Shelley Hughes (R)
Treg Taylor (R)
Matt Heilala (R)
|
| 2/11/2026 | Lake Research Partners | 600 LV |
Tom Begich (D)
Bernadette Wilson (R)
Dave Bronson (R)
Click Bishop (R)
|
| 3/7/2025 | Data for Progress | 1,008 LV |
Mary Peltola (D)
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
|