Change Research poll
Fielded 3/17/2026 – 3/19/2026 · 617 respondents · Likely voters
Result
Share of respondents (remainder shown as undecided / other)
Michael Baumgartner (R)
39.4%
Carmela Conroy (D)
9.1%
Marcus Riccelli (D)
5%
Nate Powell (I)
4.1%
Anthony Jensen (R)
4%
Ann Marie Danimus (I)
3.9%
Kevin Fagan (D)
2.9%
David Womack (D)
2.4%
Bajun Mavalwalla (D)
2%
Anthony Whisenhunt (D)
0%
About this poll
- Pollster
- Change Research
- Field dates
- Tuesday, March 17, 2026 – Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Sample
- 617 · Likely voters
- Sponsors
- Independent Candidates Action
- Internal poll
- No
- Partisan
- IND
- Published
- Wednesday, March 25, 2026
- Source
- www.independentaction.org (opens in a new tab)
- Data feed
- The New York Times (via PollResults.org)
- Last updated