TX-35 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
70% Dem
Rep 30%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Johnny C. Garcia | 71% |
| Carlos De La Cruz | 31% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Johnny Garcia | 69% |
| Carlos De La Cruz | 30% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 50% | 10/29/2026: 71% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 48% | 10/29/2026: 69% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/3/2026: 51% | 10/29/2026: 31% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 50% | 10/29/2026: 30% |
Poll average
3 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+1.0
Johnny Garcia (D)
48.3%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
47.3%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Johnny Garcia | Democrat |
| Carlos De La Cruz | Republican |
TX-35 House race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Carlos De La Cruz 47.3%
Johnny Garcia 48.3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos De La Cruz | 47.3% | 4 | 10/19/2026 |
| Johnny Garcia | 48.3% | 4 | 10/19/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 10/14–10/19 | 605 LV |
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
Johnny Garcia (D)
|
| Emerson College | 10/12–10/14 | 417 LV |
Johnny Garcia (D)
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
|
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 10/12–10/14 | 400 LV |
Johnny Garcia (D)
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
|
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 8/27–8/31 | 500 LV |
Johnny Garcia (D)
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
|