TX-21 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
<1% Dem
Rep >99%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kristin Hook | <1% |
| Mark Teixeira | 96% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 15% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 80% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Mark Teixeira (R)
38%
Jason Cahill (R)
7%
Michael Wheeler (R)
5%
Trey Trainor (R)
3%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kristin Hook | Democrat |
| Mark Teixeira | Republican |
TX-21 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jason Cahill 7%
Mark Teixeira 38%
Michael Wheeler 5%
Trey Trainor 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Cahill | 7% | 1 | 2/7/2026 |
| Mark Teixeira | 38% | 1 | 2/7/2026 |
| Michael Wheeler | 5% | 1 | 2/7/2026 |
| Trey Trainor | 3% | 1 | 2/7/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research Partners | 2/5–2/7 | 400 LV |
Mark Teixeira (R)
Jason Cahill (R)
Michael Wheeler (R)
Trey Trainor (R)
|