TX-18 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Christian Menefee | 96% |
| Ronald Whitfield | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 95% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Christian Menefee (D)
50.5%
Al Green (D)
28.5%
Amanda Edwards (D)
9%
Gretchen Brown (D)
1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Christian Menefee | Democrat |
| Ronald Whitfield | Republican |
TX-18 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Al Green 28.5%
Christian Menefee 50.5%
Amanda Edwards 9%
Gretchen Brown 1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Green | 28.5% | 3 | 2/8/2026 |
| Christian Menefee | 50.5% | 3 | 2/8/2026 |
| Amanda Edwards | 9% | 2 | 2/8/2026 |
| Gretchen Brown | 1% | 1 | 2/8/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners | 2/2–2/8 | 430 LV |
Christian Menefee (D)
Al Green (D)
|
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs | 2/3–2/8 | 1,000 LV |
Christian Menefee (D)
Al Green (D)
Amanda Edwards (D)
Gretchen Brown (D)
|
| Lake Research Partners | 12/15–12/21 | 455 LV |
Christian Menefee (D)
Al Green (D)
Amanda Edwards (D)
|