OR-05 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Janelle Bynum | 97% |
| Patti Adair | 2% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Janelle Bynum | 98% |
| Patti Adair | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/5/2026: 83% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 80% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/7/2026: 14% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 17% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Patti Adair | Republican |
| Janelle Bynum | Democrat |
| Andrea Townsend | Other |