NY-23 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
1% Dem
Rep 99%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Aaron Gies | 1% |
| Nick Langworthy | 96% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 16% | 10/29/2026: 1% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 82% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+17.0
Nick Langworthy (R)
52%
Aaron Gies (D)
35%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Aaron Gies | Democrat |
| Nick Langworthy | Republican |
NY-23 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Aaron Gies 35%
Nick Langworthy 52%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gies | 35% | 1 | 9/23/2026 |
| Nick Langworthy | 52% | 1 | 9/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 9/22–9/23 | 626 LV |
Nick Langworthy (R)
Aaron Gies (D)
|