NY-13 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
99% Dem
Rep 1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Darializa Avila Chevalier | 99% |
| Jomo Williams | 1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 99% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 5% | 10/29/2026: 1% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Adriano Espaillat (D)
35%
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
33%
Oscar Romero (D)
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez (D)
2%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | Democrat |
| Manual "Jomo" Williams | Republican |
NY-13 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Adriano Espaillat 35%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 33%
Oscar Romero 2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adriano Espaillat | 35% | 3 | 6/11/2026 |
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | 33% | 3 | 6/11/2026 |
| Oscar Romero | 2% | 2 | 6/9/2026 |
| Theo Chino-Tavarez | 2% | 1 | 6/9/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury Public Affairs | 6/9–6/11 | 468 LV |
Adriano Espaillat (D)
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
|
| Data for Progress | 6/3–6/9 | 319 LV |
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
Adriano Espaillat (D)
Oscar Romero (D)
Theo Chino-Tavarez (D)
|
| Upswing Research | 3/25–3/31 | 606 LV |
Adriano Espaillat (D)
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
Oscar Romero (D)
|