NY-11 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
7% Dem
Rep 93%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Michael DeCillis | 6% |
| Nicole Malliotakis | 92% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 34% | 10/29/2026: 6% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 92% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Michael DeCillis | Democrat |
| Nicole Malliotakis | Republican |


