NY-10 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Brad Lander | 96% |
| Jennifer Moore | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 5% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Brad Lander (D)
51.8%
Daniel Goldman (D)
32.5%
Nickie Kane (D)
3%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Brad Lander | Democrat |
| Jennifer Moore | Republican |
NY-10 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Daniel Goldman 32.5%
Brad Lander 51.8%
Alexa Avilés 16%
Nickie Kane 3%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Goldman | 32.5% | 3 | 5/17/2026 |
| Brad Lander | 51.8% | 2 | 5/17/2026 |
| Alexa Avilés | 16% | 1 | 11/6/2025 |
| Nickie Kane | 3% | 1 | 5/4/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 5/16–5/17 | 450 LV |
Brad Lander (D)
Daniel Goldman (D)
|
| Schoen Cooperman Research | 5/1–5/4 | 465 LV |
Brad Lander (D)
Daniel Goldman (D)
Nickie Kane (D)
|
| Mercury Public Affairs | 11/3–11/6 | 500 LV |
Daniel Goldman (D)
Alexa Avilés (D)
|
| Data for Progress | 9/2–9/8 | 533 LV |
Brad Lander (D)
Daniel Goldman (D)
|