NY-07 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
>99% Dem
Rep <1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Claire Valdez | 97% |
| Melvin Rivera | <1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Claire Valdez (D)
22.9%
Antonio Reynoso (D)
21.1%
Julie Won (D)
12.8%
Vichal Kumar (D)
0.5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Claire Valdez | Democrat |
| Melvin Rivera | Republican |
| Priscilla Ghaznavi | Independent |
NY-07 House race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Antonio Reynoso 21.1%
Claire Valdez 22.9%
Julie Won 12.8%
Vichal Kumar 0.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reynoso | 21.1% | 2 | 5/17/2026 |
| Claire Valdez | 22.9% | 2 | 5/17/2026 |
| Julie Won | 12.8% | 1 | 5/17/2026 |
| Vichal Kumar | 0.5% | 1 | 5/17/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 5/16–5/17 | 350 LV |
Claire Valdez (D)
Antonio Reynoso (D)
Julie Won (D)
Vichal Kumar (D)
|
| Data for Progress | 1/15–1/19 | 366 LV |
Antonio Reynoso (D)
Claire Valdez (D)
|