NJ-08 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Rob Menendez | 96% |
| Republican Party | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Robert Menendez (D)
42%
Mussab Ali (D)
27%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Rob Menendez | Democrat |
| Craig Honts | Other |
| Aristotle Eliopoulos | Independent |
| Da'Shone Hughey | Independent |
NJ-08 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mussab Ali 27%
Robert Menendez 42%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mussab Ali | 27% | 1 | 4/16/2026 |
| Robert Menendez | 42% | 1 | 4/16/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Center for Strategic Politics | 4/11–4/16 | 416 LV |
Robert Menendez (D)
Mussab Ali (D)
|