NE-02 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
92% Dem
Rep 8%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Denise Powell | 92% |
| Brinker Harding | 8% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Denise Powell | 92% |
| Brinker Harding | 7% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/4/2026: 83% | 10/28/2026: 92% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 82% | 10/28/2026: 92% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 14% | 10/28/2026: 8% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 16% | 10/28/2026: 7% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+8.0
Denise Powell (D)
48%
Brinker Harding (R)
40%
Eric Michael Foreman (L)
6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Brinker Harding | Republican |
| Denise Powell | Democrat |
| Eric Michael Foreman | Libertarian |
NE-02 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Denise Powell 50%
Brinker Harding 38%
Crystal Rhoades 15%
Eric Michael Foreman 6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Powell | 50% | 3 | 10/5/2026 |
| Brinker Harding | 38% | 2 | 10/5/2026 |
| Crystal Rhoades | 15% | 1 | 1/12/2026 |
| Eric Michael Foreman | 6% | 1 | 10/5/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs | 10/2–10/5 | 377 LV |
Denise Powell (D)
Brinker Harding (R)
Eric Michael Foreman (L)
|
| SurveyUSA | 9/8–9/13 | 182 LV |
Denise Powell (D)
Brinker Harding (R)
|
| GBAO | 1/8–1/12 | 600 LV |
John Cavanaugh (D)
Crystal Rhoades (D)
Denise Powell (D)
Kishla Askins (D)
James Leuschen (D)
|
| GBAO | 7/21–7/23 | 400 LV |
John Cavanaugh (D)
Crystal Rhoades (D)
Denise Powell (D)
Mark Johnston (D)
Kishla Askins (D)
|