NE-02 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Denise Powell at 50%, Brinker Harding at 38%, Crystal Rhoades at 15%, John Cavanaugh at 43%, based on 4 polls ending between 7/23/2025 and 10/5/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
NE-02 House race 2026 over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Denise Powell 50%
Brinker Harding 38%
Crystal Rhoades 15%
John Cavanaugh 43%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Powell | 50% | 4 | 10/5/2026 |
| Brinker Harding | 38% | 2 | 10/5/2026 |
| Crystal Rhoades | 15% | 2 | 1/12/2026 |
| John Cavanaugh | 43% | 2 | 1/12/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 4 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Denise Powell | 28.8% |
| Brinker Harding | 40% |
| John Cavanaugh | 39.5% |
| Crystal Rhoades | 15% |
| Kishla Askins | 4% |
| Eric Michael Foreman | 6% |
| Mark Johnston | 5% |
| James Leuschen | 3% |
Individual polls (4)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/5/2026 | National Public Affairs | 377 LV |
Denise Powell (D)
Brinker Harding (R)
Eric Michael Foreman (L)
|
| 9/13/2026 |
SurveyUSA
for Grant Forbes, LLC |
182 LV |
Denise Powell (D)
Brinker Harding (R)
|
| 1/12/2026 | GBAO | 600 LV |
John Cavanaugh (D)
Crystal Rhoades (D)
Denise Powell (D)
Kishla Askins (D)
James Leuschen (D)
|
| 7/23/2025 | GBAO | 400 LV |
John Cavanaugh (D)
Crystal Rhoades (D)
Denise Powell (D)
Mark Johnston (D)
Kishla Askins (D)
|