NE-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
22% Dem
Rep 78%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Chris Backemeyer | 22% |
| Mike Flood | 78% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 20% | 10/29/2026: 22% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 78% | 10/29/2026: 78% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+1.0
Mike Flood (R)
46%
Chris Backemeyer (D)
45%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Mike Flood | Republican |
| Chris Backemeyer | Democrat |
| Nik Sandman | Libertarian |
| Dan Hartong | Other |
NE-01 House race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Chris Backemeyer 45%
Mike Flood 46%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Backemeyer | 45% | 4 | 10/20/2026 |
| Mike Flood | 46% | 4 | 10/20/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | 10/19–10/20 | 536 LV |
Mike Flood (R)
Chris Backemeyer (D)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 8/31–9/3 | 600 LV |
Mike Flood (R)
Chris Backemeyer (D)
|
| Tavern Research | 5/16–5/19 | 1,079 LV |
Mike Flood (R)
Chris Backemeyer (D)
|
| Zenith Research | 5/8–5/11 | 371 LV |
Mike Flood (R)
Chris Backemeyer (D)
|