NC-11 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
86% Dem
Rep 6%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Jamie Ager | 86% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 15% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Jamie Ager | 88% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 13% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 55% | 10/29/2026: 86% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 56% | 10/29/2026: 88% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 40% | 10/29/2026: 13% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+13.0
Jamie Ager (D)
56%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
43%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | Democrat |
| Jennifer Balkcom | Republican |
| Travis Groo | Libertarian |
NC-11 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jamie Ager 56%
Jennifer Balkcom 43%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 56% | 1 | 10/14/2026 |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 43% | 1 | 10/14/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 10/12–10/14 | 388 LV |
Jamie Ager (D)
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
|