NC-10 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
5% Dem
Rep 95%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Ashley Bell | 5% |
| Pat Harrigan | 94% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 13% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 82% | 10/29/2026: 94% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+15.0
Pat Harrigan (R)
52%
Ashley Bell (D)
37%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Ashley Bell | Democrat |
| Pat Harrigan | Republican |
| Steve Feldman | Libertarian |
NC-10 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Ashley Bell 37%
Pat Harrigan 52%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Bell | 37% | 1 | 3/12/2026 |
| Pat Harrigan | 52% | 1 | 3/12/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research Partners | 3/10–3/12 | 400 LV |
Pat Harrigan (R)
Ashley Bell (D)
|