MI-10 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
69% Dem
Rep 31%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Christina Hines | 68% |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. | 30% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Christina Hines | 69% |
| Mike Bouchard | 30% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 77% | 10/29/2026: 68% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 76% | 10/29/2026: 69% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 22% | 10/29/2026: 30% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 18% | 10/29/2026: 30% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Christina Hines (D)
45%
Michael Bouchard
45%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Christina Hines | Democrat |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. | Republican |
| Mike Saliba | Libertarian |
| Kwabena Nkromo | Green |
| Andrea L. Kirby | Other |
MI-10 House race: polls over time
6 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Christina Hines 45%
Eric Chung 19%
Mike Bouchard 39.2%
Justin Kirk 2.7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Hines | 45% | 3 | 8/13/2026 |
| Eric Chung | 19% | 3 | 7/9/2026 |
| Mike Bouchard | 39.2% | 3 | 5/5/2026 |
| Justin Kirk | 2.7% | 2 | 5/5/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 8/10–8/13 | 600 LV |
Christina Hines (D)
Michael Bouchard
|
| Hart Research Associates | 7/7–7/9 | 400 LV |
Christina Hines (D)
Eric Chung (D)
Tim Greimel (D)
|
| Harper Polling | 5/3–5/5 | 400 LV |
Mike Bouchard (R)
Robert Lulgjuraj (R)
Justin Kirk (R)
Steffan Demetropoulos (R)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 4/23–4/26 | 400 LV |
Christina Hines (D)
Eric Chung (D)
Tim Greimel (D)
|
| OnMessage Inc. | 1/30–2/1 | 400 LV |
Mike Bouchard (R)
Robert Lulgjuraj (R)
Justin Kirk (R)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 1/16–1/17 | 592 RV |
Mike Bouchard (R)
Eric Chung (D)
|