MI-08 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
95% Dem
Rep 5%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Kristen McDonald Rivet | 94% |
| Thomas J. Smith | 5% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kristen McDonald Rivet | 95% |
| Thomas Smith | 5% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 89% | 10/29/2026: 94% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 90% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/21/2026: 49% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 12% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kristen McDonald Rivet | Democrat |
| Tom Smith | Republican |
| C. Mia Pettus | Libertarian |
| Jim Casha | Green |
| Kathy Goodwin | Other |