MD-07 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Forecast
Chance of winning: Democrats 97% · Republicans 3% Model by civicAPI, updated October 27Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kweisi Mfume | 98% |
| Scott Collier | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kweisi Mfume | Democrat |
| Scott Collier | Republican |
Campaign money
Raised and spent by each candidate's campaign committee this cycle, through October 14.
| Candidate | Raised | Comparison | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kweisi Mfume (D) | $490K | $571K | $612K |
Source: Federal Election Commission. Doesn't include spending by parties or outside groups such as super PACs. Money in politics
Who lives here
| This district | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 741,484 | |
| Median household income | $66,738 | $81,604 |
| Median age | 37.0 | 39.2 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 34% | 37% |
| Below the poverty line | 16% | 12% |
| White (non-Hispanic) | 29% | 56% |
| Black (non-Hispanic) | 52% | 12% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 10% | 20% |
| Asian (non-Hispanic) | 4% | 6% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 1-year, via Census Reporter.