ID-01 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
3% Dem
Rep 97%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kaylee Peterson | 3% |
| Russ Fulcher | 97% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 3% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 97% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+26.0
Russ Fulcher (R)
52%
Kaylee Peterson (D)
26%
Brendan Gomez (O)
6%
Sarah Zabel (I)
5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kaylee Peterson | Democrat |
| Russ Fulcher | Republican |
| Brendan Gomez | Other |
| Sarah Zabel Peterson | Independent |
ID-01 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kaylee Peterson 26%
Russ Fulcher 52%
Sarah Zabel 5%
Brendan Gomez 6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Peterson | 26% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Russ Fulcher | 52% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Sarah Zabel | 5% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Brendan Gomez | 6% | 2 | 10/22/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| VoteNexus | 10/21–10/22 | — LV |
Russ Fulcher (R)
Kaylee Peterson (D)
Brendan Gomez (O)
Sarah Zabel (I)
|
| Change Research | 7/28–7/30 | — LV |
Russ Fulcher (R)
Kaylee Peterson (D)
Sarah Zabel (I)
Brendan Gomez (O)
|
| SurveyUSA | 7/7–7/14 | 480 LV |
Russ Fulcher (R)
Kaylee Peterson (D)
Sarah Zabel (I)
|