FL-27 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
34% Dem
Rep 66%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Eliott Rodriguez | 34% |
| María Elvira Salazar | 66% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 28% | 10/29/2026: 34% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 66% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · Tied
Maria Elvira Salazar
47%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
45.5%
María Elvira Salazar (R)
45%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Eliott Rodriguez | Democrat |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | Republican |
FL-27 House race: polls over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Eliott Rodriguez 45.5%
María Elvira Salazar 45%
Robin Peguero 28%
Maria Elvira Salazar 47%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Rodriguez | 45.5% | 4 | 9/13/2026 |
| María Elvira Salazar | 45% | 3 | 8/30/2026 |
| Robin Peguero | 28% | 2 | 6/18/2026 |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | 47% | 1 | 9/13/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research | 9/8–9/13 | 600 LV |
Maria Elvira Salazar
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
|
| Bendixen & Amandi International | 8/25–8/30 | 600 LV |
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
María Elvira Salazar (R)
|
| Bendixen & Amandi International | 6/15–6/18 | 300 LV |
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
Robin Peguero (D)
|
| Blueprint Polling | 3/6–3/8 | 451 RV |
María Elvira Salazar (R)
Robin Peguero (D)
|
| Blueprint Polling | 3/6–3/8 | 451 RV |
María Elvira Salazar (R)
Eliott Rodriguez (D)
|
| Kaplan Strategies | 7/1–7/1 | 804 LV |
María Elvira Salazar (R)
Alex Fornino
|