FL-26 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
16% Dem
Rep 84%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Nicole Locklin | 16% |
| Mario Díaz-Balart | 84% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 15% | 10/29/2026: 16% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 82% | 10/29/2026: 84% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Mario Diaz-Balart | Republican |
| Nicole Locklin | Democrat |
| Deborah Ann Meidinger Hosey | Independent |