FL-20 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Debbie Wasserman Schultz | 98% |
| Brent Andersen | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 8% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
45.5%
Elijah Manley (D)
21%
Dale Holness (D)
15%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
3%
Luther Campbell (D)
2%
Maisha Williams (D)
1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Brent Andersen | Republican |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz | Democrat |
| Kedner Maxime | Other |
FL-20 House race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Dale Holness 15%
Elijah Manley 21%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 3%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz 39%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Holness | 15% | 3 | 6/1/2026 |
| Elijah Manley | 21% | 3 | 6/1/2026 |
| Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 3% | 3 | 6/1/2026 |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz | 39% | 2 | 6/1/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 5/29–6/1 | 500 LV |
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
Elijah Manley (D)
Dale Holness (D)
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
Luther Campbell (D)
Maisha Williams (D)
|
| EMC Research | 5/5–5/10 | 400 LV |
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 2/24–2/28 | 400 LV |
Elijah Manley (D)
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
Dale Holness (D)
Rudy Moise (D)
Luther Campbell (D)
|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 2/2–2/4 | 300 LV |
Elijah Manley (D)
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
Dale Holness (D)
|