CO-08 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
85% Dem
Rep 15%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Manny Rutinel | 84% |
| Gabe Evans | 15% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Manny Rutinel | 86% |
| Gabe Evans | 14% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 84% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 74% | 10/29/2026: 86% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 30% | 10/29/2026: 15% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 27% | 10/29/2026: 14% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Manny Rutinel (D)
44%
Shannon Bird (D)
31%
Evan Munsing (D)
5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Gabe Evans | Republican |
| Manny Rutinel | Democrat |
| Dave Wood | Libertarian |
CO-08 House race: polls over time
4 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Evan Munsing 5%
Manny Rutinel 44%
Shannon Bird 31%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Munsing | 5% | 4 | 6/14/2026 |
| Manny Rutinel | 44% | 4 | 6/14/2026 |
| Shannon Bird | 31% | 4 | 6/14/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO | 6/11–6/14 | 400 LV |
Manny Rutinel (D)
Shannon Bird (D)
Evan Munsing (D)
|
| GBAO | 4/22–4/26 | — LV |
Shannon Bird (D)
Manny Rutinel (D)
Evan Munsing (D)
|
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 4/20–4/22 | 400 LV |
Shannon Bird (D)
Manny Rutinel (D)
Evan Munsing (D)
|
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 2/19–2/23 | 400 LV |
Manny Rutinel (D)
Shannon Bird (D)
Evan Munsing (D)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 5/19–5/20 | 467 RV |
Yadira Caraveo (D)
Dave Young (D)
Manny Rutinel (D)
Shannon Bird (D)
Amie Baca-Oehlert (D)
|