CO-03 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
35% Dem
Rep 65%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Dwayne Romero | 36% |
| Jeff Hurd | 65% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Dwayne Romero | 34% |
| Jeff Hurd | 66% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/4/2026: 33% | 10/29/2026: 36% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 36% | 10/29/2026: 34% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 68% | 10/29/2026: 65% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 64% | 10/29/2026: 66% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+1.0
Dwayne Romero (D)
47%
Jeff Hurd (R)
46%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Dwayne L. Romero | Democrat |
| Jeff Hurd | Republican |
| Cory Robertson | Libertarian |
| Clifton Brown | Independent |
CO-03 House race: polls over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Jeff Hurd 46%
Alex Kelloff 41%
Dwayne Romero 47%
Hope Scheppelman 27%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Hurd | 46% | 5 | 10/21/2026 |
| Alex Kelloff | 41% | 2 | 3/12/2026 |
| Dwayne Romero | 47% | 2 | 10/21/2026 |
| Hope Scheppelman | 27% | 1 | 12/12/2025 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 10/20–10/21 | 402 LV |
Jeff Hurd (R)
Dwayne Romero (D)
|
| Keating Research, Inc. | 7/21–7/23 | 500 LV |
Jeff Hurd (R)
Dwayne Romero (D)
|
| Ragnar Research Partners | 3/10–3/12 | 400 LV |
Jeff Hurd (R)
Alex Kelloff (D)
|
| Expedition Strategies | 1/8–1/12 | 400 LV |
Jeff Hurd (R)
Alex Kelloff (D)
|
| Pulse Opinion Research | 12/8–12/12 | 576 LV |
Jeff Hurd (R)
Hope Scheppelman (R)
|