CA-49 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Mike Levin | 97% |
| Armen Kurdian | 2% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Mike Levin | 96% |
| Armen Kurdian | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/5/2026: 93% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 93% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/21/2026: 8% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Mike Levin | Democrat |
| Armen Kurdian | Republican |