CA-16 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
97% Dem
Rep 3%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Sam Liccardo | 97% |
| Peter Soulé | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 89% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Peter Sundin Soulé | Republican |
| Sam Liccardo | Democrat |