AZ-09 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
4% Dem
Rep 96%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Dani Sterbinsky | 4% |
| Paul Gosar | 96% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 10% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 88% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Danielle Sterbinsky | Democrat |
| Paul Gosar | Republican |
| G. Seville Hatch | Independent |
| William Perry | Independent |