AL-04 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
<1% Dem
Rep >99%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Amanda Pusczek | <1% |
| Robert Aderholt | 98% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 93% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
Poll average
No polls of this race yet.
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Robert Aderholt | Republican |
| Amanda Pusczek | Democrat |