New York governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
96% Dem
Rep 4%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Kathy Hochul | 96% |
| Bruce Blakeman | 5% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Kathy Hochul | 97% |
| Bruce Blakeman | 3% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 90% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 11% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 8% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
Poll average
9 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+12.7
Kathy Hochul (D)
53.1%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
40.4%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | Democrat |
| Bruce Blakeman | Republican |
New York governor's race: polls over time
34 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Kathy Hochul 53.8%
Bruce Blakeman 40.1%
Antonio Delgado 16%
Elise Stefanik 32%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | 53.8% | 34 | 10/25/2026 |
| Bruce Blakeman | 40.1% | 32 | 10/25/2026 |
| Antonio Delgado | 16% | 1 | 11/12/2025 |
| Elise Stefanik | 32% | 1 | 11/12/2025 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist University | 10/22–10/25 | 1,448 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| ActiVote | 10/1–10/23 | 400 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| Siena University | 10/19–10/22 | 807 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| Quinnipiac University | 10/15–10/19 | 1,167 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| OnMessage Inc. | 10/12–10/14 | 1,000 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| Beacon Research | 10/1–10/6 | 820 RV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| Emerson College | 10/3–10/5 | 900 LV |
Bruce Blakeman (R)
Kathy Hochul (D)
|
| Marist University | 10/1–10/4 | 1,361 RV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/23–9/25 | 1,046 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|
| Quinnipiac University | 9/17–9/20 | 1,026 LV |
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R)
|