Illinois governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
98% Dem
Rep 2%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | JB Pritzker | 98% |
| Darren Bailey | 3% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | JB Pritzker | 98% |
| Darren Bailey | 2% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 11% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+18.7
JB Pritzker (D)
56.4%
Darren Bailey (R)
37.6%
Collin Corbett (I)
6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| JB Pritzker | Democrat |
| Darren Bailey | Republican |
| Collin Corbett | Independent |
Illinois governor's race: polls over time
5 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Darren Bailey 41.3%
JB Pritzker 58.7%
Jim Mendrick 4.7%
Rick Heidner 5.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Bailey | 41.3% | 5 | 10/22/2026 |
| JB Pritzker | 58.7% | 3 | 10/22/2026 |
| Jim Mendrick | 4.7% | 2 | 1/23/2026 |
| Rick Heidner | 5.1% | 2 | 1/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | 10/2–10/22 | 400 LV |
JB Pritzker (D)
Darren Bailey (R)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 9/30–10/1 | 569 LV |
JB Pritzker (D)
Darren Bailey (R)
Collin Corbett (I)
|
| Osage Research | 1/20–1/23 | 412 LV |
Darren Bailey (R)
Rick Heidner (R)
Ted Dabrowski (R)
Jim Mendrick (R)
|
| Emerson College | 1/3–1/5 | 432 LV |
Darren Bailey (R)
Ted Dabrowski (R)
Jim Mendrick (R)
Joseph Severino (R)
Gregg Moore (R)
Rick Heidner (R)
|
| Victory Research | 11/20–11/24 | 1,208 LV |
JB Pritzker (D)
Darren Bailey (R)
|
| Reveille Research | 9/4–9/6 | — LV |
Darren Bailey (R)
Jim Mendrick (R)
Ted Dabrowski (R)
|