Arizona governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
91% Dem
Rep 9%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Katie Hobbs | 90% |
| Andy Biggs | 10% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Katie Hobbs | 92% |
| Andy Biggs | 8% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 77% | 10/29/2026: 90% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 78% | 10/29/2026: 92% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 26% | 10/29/2026: 10% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 22% | 10/29/2026: 8% |
Poll average
7 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+9.4
Katie Hobbs (D)
49.7%
Andy Biggs (R)
40.3%
Teri Hourihan (O)
1.9%
Risa Lombardo (G)
1%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Andy Biggs | Republican |
| Katie Hobbs | Democrat |
| Risa Lombardo | Green |
| Teri Hourihan | Other |
Arizona governor's race: polls over time
29 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Andy Biggs 41.4%
Katie Hobbs 50.2%
Risa Lombardo 1%
David Schweikert 10.4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs | 41.4% | 29 | 10/25/2026 |
| Katie Hobbs | 50.2% | 23 | 10/25/2026 |
| Risa Lombardo | 1% | 9 | 10/25/2026 |
| David Schweikert | 10.4% | 6 | 7/9/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround | 10/21–10/25 | 400 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Hourihan (O)
Risa Lombardo (G)
|
| GrayHouse | 10/18–10/20 | 550 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Ann Hourihan
Risa Lombardo (G)
|
| Equis Research | 10/1–10/9 | 1,214 RV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
|
| GrayHouse | 10/6–10/8 | 550 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Risa Lombardo (G)
Teri Hourihan (O)
|
| HighGround | 10/6–10/8 | 400 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Hourihan (O)
Risa Lombardo (G)
|
| Wick | 10/3–10/6 | 1,513 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
|
| BSP Research | 9/18–10/4 | 1,300 RV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Hourihan (O)
Risa Lombardo (G)
|
| BSP Research | 8/18–9/4 | — LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Ann Hourihan
Risa Lombardo (G)
|
| NextGen Polling | 8/17–8/19 | 1,627 RV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Risa Lombardo (G)
Teri Hourihan (O)
|
| HighGround | 8/15–8/18 | 400 LV |
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R)
Teri Hourihan (O)
Risa Lombardo (G)
|